Navigating the Chaos: Trading News Like a Pro in Uncertain Times

Hey folks, it's Coach Yoann here. If you've been following me on X (@coachyoann), you know I'm all about turning market madness into money. As a day trader who's been in the trenches for years, I've seen my share of wild rides, from crypto crashes to election-night swings. Today, with the world on edge over Supreme Court delays on tariffs and brewing U.S.-Iran tensions, I figured it's time to drop some real talk on trading the news. This isn't textbook stuff; it's hard-earned wisdom from someone who's stared at screens until my eyes bled. Let's break it down.

TL;DR

News events like the ongoing SCOTUS tariff limbo and potential U.S. strikes on Iran can spike volatility, creating killer opportunities for day traders but only if you stay disciplined. Focus on risk management, use tools like level 2 data and options for quick plays, and remember: markets hate uncertainty, so expect whipsaws. These headlines could drag down stocks, boost safe havens like gold, and hit sectors like energy and imports hard. Trade smart, not emotional.

Alright, let's dive in. Trading news isn't for the faint of heart. It's like surfing a tsunami, exhilarating if you catch the wave right, but wipe out and you're done. Right now, we've got two massive stories dominating the feeds: the Supreme Court ghosting on Trump's tariff rulings and whispers of another U.S. smackdown on Iran.

First off, the SCOTUS drama. Trump's tariffs: you know, those blanket duties he slapped on pretty much everyone under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) are hanging in the balance. The Court heard arguments back in November, and everyone's been on pins and needles. There were a couple of opinion days where folks thought a ruling might drop, like last Friday and today, but nope crickets. The justices issued some other decisions this morning, but nothing on tariffs. Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket are betting heavy against Trump winning this one, odds are around 30% for upholding the tariffs, down from higher numbers post-arguments. If SCOTUS strikes 'em down, we're talking billions in refunds for companies, a rethink on trade deals, and a potential flood of cheaper imports. Stocks dipped today on the no-news news, with the Dow shedding points as traders priced in more uncertainty.

As day traders, this is gold. Uncertainty breeds volatility, and volatility is our playground. Remember that time in 2018 when tariff tweets would swing futures 1-2% in minutes? Same vibe here. If the ruling finally hits, maybe next week when the Court's back in session: expect fireworks. Sectors like retail (think Walmart, Costco) and freight could surge on refund hopes, while exporters might tank if trade wars reignite. My play? Use tight stops, I've lost shirts chasing false breakouts on news teases.

Now, flip to the geopolitical heat: Iran. Protests are raging over there, with thousands in the streets against the regime. Trump's been tweeting fire, canceled meetings, warned of "strong action," and straight-up said "help is on the way" to protesters. The U.S. is pulling non-essential folks from bases like Al Udeid in Qatar as a precaution, and officials are buzzing about an "imminent" strike, maybe in the next 24 hours. Iran’s firing back, threatening U.S. bases in Iraq, Syria, even Qatar. This ain't new, remember the U.S. hits on Iran's nuke sites last June? But with protests adding fuel, it could escalate quick.

Market impact? Oil's already twitching, Brent up 2% today on strike fears. If bombs drop, energy stocks (XOM, CVX) could rocket, but broader markets might puke on risk-off vibes. Gold and bonds? Safe-haven buys all day. As day traders, we're talking VIX spikes, that fear gauge could hit 30 easy. Beware of the fakeouts: one wrong tweet and you're reversed.

Overall, these events hammer home why news trading matters for us grinders. Markets don't care about politics; they care about flows. Tariffs drag on growth, boosting the deficit if they're axed (we're talking $80B+ in collected duties at risk). Iran strikes? Supply shocks, inflation fears, Fed headaches. For day traders, it's about speed: Use scanners for volume surges and always, always size small on news plays. I've blown accounts chasing headlines, lesson learned: One bad trade wipes a week's wins.

In my coaching sessions, I tell folks: Treat news like a tool, not a crystal ball. Backtest how similar events played out (tariff rulings in '19, Iran tensions in '20..).

Wrapping up, to me I only trade the same thing for the past 4 years: SPX. So the broad market overall and yes, it reacts to news and that type of trading news keeps me alive in this game. It's raw, it's real, and yeah, it's risky. But master it, and you'll eat while others starve.

FAQ

Q: What's the best way to stay ahead of news like this as a day trader? A: I use FinancialJuice, it's super fast and I like it, plus X feeds from reliable sources like (@DeItaone)... Don't rely on just one, cross-check to avoid fakes.

Q: Should I avoid trading during big news events? A: Yes, Nah, Maybe, it depends on you and how experienced you are.. If you're new, paper trade (simulation) first.

Q: How do these events affect crypto or forex? A: Tariffs could strengthen USD if trade wars heat up, pressuring BTC. Iran strikes? Risk-off means USD up, oil pairs like USD/CAD volatile. Always check correlations.

Q: What if SCOTUS rules tomorrow, how to prepare? A: Wait for confirmation, rumors kill.

Thanks for reading!

Coach Yoann

https://www.coachyoann.com

Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only, not financial advice. This article does not constitute an offer or a solicitation or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities, financial product or services by nShape Capital (''Coach Yoann''). Furthermore, nothing in this article is intended to provide tax, legal, or investment advice. All readers should do their Due Diligence before making any financial decision. Click here for full disclaimer: https://www.coachyoann.com/disclaimers.